Saturday, November 27, 2010

Dodgers Update

The Dodgers completed their starting rotation by signing Jon Garland to a one year $5MM deal with an $8MM option for 2012 if he pitches 190 innings in 2011. The Garland signing means that the LA rotation will probably go Kershaw, Billingsley, Lilly, Kuroda, Garland. If you combined these 5 starters stats from 2010, the Dodgers would have had one of the lowest starting pitching ERAs in baseball, even lower than the Giants or Phillies.

Garland was 14-12 with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.315 WHIP in pitcher friendly Petco Park in 2010. His K/9 and BB/9 were both elevated above his career rate at 6.1 k/9 and 3.9 bb/9. He posted a FIP of 4.41 and his BABIP was at .267 (21 points below his career mark of .288) suggesting that he was more lucky than good and benefitted from a good d and/or pitcher friendly ballpark. Garland also posted a high 51.9% groundball rate (45.2% career), again suggesting he may regress a little bit in 2011. Bill James predicts him to go 10-14 with a 3.81 ERA mostly due to a reduction in K's and groundballs and a rise in BABIP. Garland's career numbers certainly support this prediction, but still put him in line to be a very good 5th starter, perhaps one of the best in the NL.

Russ Martin has had his name thrown around as a non-tender candidate. Injuries, declining performance and that fact that he'd be in line for a salary of about $7MM could lead Ned Coletti to deem him expendable. George Sherrill is another name who may not be offered arbitration, however Sherrill could return on a minor league deal.

Apparently the Dodgers were the team the Giants had to outbid for Aubrey Huff.

And get us on stumble!

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