Tuesday, December 21, 2010

The Heckler's Bowl Preview Special (Part 4 of 7)

Today I will be taking a look at the Sugar Bowl. Orange Bowl Preview coming up on Thursday (12/23).

Sugar Bowl (New Orleans, Louisiana) - January 4, 2011
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#6 Ohio State Buckeyes v. #8 Arkansas Razorbacks



#6 Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1, 7-1 Big Ten)
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Average Points per game: 39.4 (11th out of 120 Division I-A teams)
Average Points Allowed: 13.3 (3)
Home record: 8-0
Away record: 3-1 (Lost to #18 Wisconsin)
Total Yards (offense): 448.8 (18)
Last 6 (W-L): 5-1
Record v. top 25: 2-1 (W: #12 Miami-Week 2, #20 Iowa-Week 11; L: #18 Wisconsin-Week 7)

#8 Arkansas Razorbacks (10-2, 6-2 S.E.C.)
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Average Points per game: 37.3 (16)
Average Points Allowed: 22.8 (44)
Home record: 5-1 (Lost to #1 Alabama)
Away record: 5-1 (Lost to #7 Auburn)
Total Yards (offense):
Last 6 (W-L): 6-0
Record v. top 25: 3-2 (W: #19 South Carolina-Week 9, #21 Mississippi St.-Week 11, #5 L.S.U.-Week 12; L: #1 Alabama-Week 4, #7 Auburn-Week 6)

BREAKDOWN:

#6 Ohio State comes into the Sugar Bowl looking over their shoulders at #5 Wisconsin in the Rose Bowl. They know that that could have been them. They look at #1 Auburn and #2 Oregon in the B.C.S. National Championship Game and sigh. They know that one of those teams could have been them. #6 Ohio State comes into their 6th B.C.S. Bowl Game. They have a record of 2 wins and 3 losses in B.C.S. Bowl Games, but the numbers are deceptive. It doesn't show the average fan how bad the Buckeyes have been against the Southeastern Conference in those Bowl Games. To breakdown their record the Buckeyes are 2-0 against non S.E.C. teams and 0-3 against the teams from the S.E.C. The Buckeyes are looking to forget the "what could have been" of this season. They are also looking to get the monkey off their back against the Southeastern Conference in a Bowl Game (0-9 all-time against the S.E.C. during the Tressel era). Coming into the Sugar Bowl as the Buckeye's opponent is the #8 University of Arkansas Razorbacks. The Razorbacks look at weeks 4 and 6 as where their season went bad. During their week 4 match-up with then #1 Alabama they had a 17-7 halftime lead; they went on to lose 24-20. During the week 6 match-up against then #7 Auburn they went into the 4th quarter trailing 35-37; Auburn outscored them 28-8 in the 4th and Arkansas lost again. They ended their season by winning their last 6 and making it to the Sugar Bowl but it was a almost not for them. They had to beat Mississippi St in double overtime in week 11. Then they had to upset then #5 L.S.U. in week 12 to get the bid to the Sugar Bowl. Arkansas is making their first ever B.C.S. Bowl Game. They are looking to continue the success that the S.E.C. enjoys in these games. This should be a high powered offensive affair.

PREDICTION:

1st Half: #6 Ohio State 13 #8 Arkansas 17
2nd Half: #6 Ohio State 10 #8 Arkansas 17

Final Score: #6 Ohio State 23 #8 Arkansas 34

ANALYSIS:

The Buckeyes and the Razorbacks are going to come out on point. Both teams will bring their chips on their shoulders this game. Both teams will come out ready to beat the other one down. Terrelle Pryor and Dan Herron will try and control the tempo of the game with their ground attack. The Razorback defense will not grasp how to stop the Buckeyes during the first half of the game. Thankfully for them though the Razorback offense will be just too good for the Buckeye defense for the first half. Ryan Mallet and his core of Wide Receivers (led by D.J. Williams) will being throwing the rock all over the field against an over-matched Buckeye secondary. The game will be 13-17 at the half with the Razorbacks hanging on to a slim lead. The Buckeyes are going to go into the half with a bit of confidence thinking that their streak against the Southeastern Conference is close to coming to an end. Then the second half will start. The Razorback defense will make the small changes they will need to stop the running attack of Dan Herron; with that Terrelle will become a solitary weapon for the Buckeyes and that won't be enough. Pryor will do well enough to raise his stock in the draft but the hero of this day will be Mallet and Knile Davis. Mallet will use his strong arm to establish the Razorback lead and then they will feed the ball to Knile Davis and the second half will belong to the Razorbacks too. Final Score is going to be 34-23 Razorbacks win. The Buckeyes will once again not be good enough to beat a team from the Southeastern Conference and once again the S.E.C. will have a B.C.S. Bowl winner.

-The Heckler

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