Monday, December 6, 2010

Padres Hot Stove Update

So Adrian Gonzalez is officially a member of the Boston Red Sox. The Padres get P Casey Kelly, 1B Anthony Rizzo and OF Reymond Fuentes plus a PTBNL.

Not a terrible deal for the Padres, they did get a nice prospect return, and the Red Sox top prospects have a nice history of panning out (Jon Lester, Dustin Pedroia, Clay Bucholz, Jonathan Papelbon, Jacoby Ellsbury, Hanley Ramirez etc.). However, the Padres were in contention for the playoffs until the last day of the season in 2010, you would think that with almost the same team returning, they would try to make another run at it in 2011 and trade at the deadline if it didn't work out. But instead, the Padres have raised the white flag, and are now officially joining the D-Backs in rebuild mode. I realize the Padres were a long shot to re-sign Adrian Gonzalez, but he was only due $6.2 MM this year, and for the number of butts he put in the seats I imagine he was worth it.

Also gone from the 2010 Padres are Miguel Tejada (Giants) and Jon Garland (Dodgers). Couple that with the Giants retaining everyone not named Uribe, and the Dodgers sporting a markedly improved rotation, and the Padres prospects for 2011 aren't looking so good. Their starters (I'm talking to you Clayton Richard) were especially lucky last year and coupled with the fact that their bullpen is unlikely to repeat their dominance from last year (especially if Heath Bell gets traded) and the Padres could very well be a below .500 team in 2011. I mean, look at this roster. Padres fans better hope Ryan Ludwick hits 65 HR.

The Padres did add Aaron Harang and his 5+ ERA. Here's a look at his lifetime #'s... They certainly seem to be on the decline..

Year Age Tm W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2002 24 OAK 5 4 4.83 16 15 78.1 78 42 7 45 64 90 1.570 9.0 0.8 5.2 7.4 1.42
2003 25 TOT 5 6 5.31 16 15 76.1 89 45 11 19 42 81 1.415 10.5 1.3 2.2 5.0 2.21
2003 25 OAK 1 3 5.34 7 6 30.1 41 18 5 9 16 84 1.648 12.2 1.5 2.7 4.7 1.78
2003 25 CIN 4 3 5.28 9 9 46.0 48 27 6 10 26 79 1.261 9.4 1.2 2.0 5.1 2.60
2004 26 CIN 10 9 4.86 28 28 161.0 177 87 26 53 125 88 1.429 9.9 1.5 3.0 7.0 2.36
2005 27 CIN 11 13 3.83 32 32 211.2 217 90 22 51 163 112 1.266 9.2 0.9 2.2 6.9 3.20
2006 28 CIN 16 11 3.76 36 35 234.1 242 98 28 56 216 124 1.272 9.3 1.1 2.2 8.3 3.86
2007 29 CIN 16 6 3.73 34 34 231.2 213 96 28 52 218 124 1.144 8.3 1.1 2.0 8.5 4.19
2008 30 CIN 6 17 4.78 30 29 184.1 205 98 35 50 153 93 1.383 10.0 1.7 2.4 7.5 3.06
2009 31 CIN 6 14 4.21 26 26 162.1 186 76 24 43 142 100 1.411 10.3 1.3 2.4 7.9 3.30
2010 32 CIN 6 7 5.32 22 20 111.2 139 66 16 38 82 75 1.585 11.2 1.3 3.1 6.6 2.16
9 Seasons 81 87 4.33 240 234 1451.2 1546 698 197 407 1205 102 1.345 9.6 1.2 2.5 7.5 2.96
162 Game Avg. 12 12 4.33 34 34 208 222 100 28 58 173 102 1.345 9.6 1.2 2.5 7.5 2.96
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/6/2010.





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